As the golf world descends on San Diego this weekend for the U.S. Open, the biggest question regarding the field at Torrey Pines is who deserves your bet? The favorite, and the man who was just forced to withdraw from a tournament he was leading by six strokes, or the aging local underdog who just so happens to have won the last major championship?
It should be a great 72 holes, assuming this weekend everyone makes it.
Favorites to Win U.S. Open
- Jon Rahm (+900)
- Dustin Johnson (+1800)
- Bryson DeChambeau (+1800)
- Brooks Koepka (+1800)
- Rory McIlroy (+2000)
- Jordan Spieth (+2000)
- Xander Schauffele (+2000)
- Collin Morikawa (+2200)
- Justin Thomas (+2200)
- Patrick Cantlay (+2500)
- Patrick Reed (+2500)
- Viktor Hovland (+2500)
A +900 number on Jon Rahm may feel a little short when compared to such a stacked field. But no one is locked in like Rahm. He would have won his last tournament if not for COVID-19. He was top 10 at the PGA Championship. He was tied for fifth place at the Masters — top 10 at THE PLAYERS Championship.
Add in the fact that Rahm has a win at Torrey Pines, and no one else in the field comes into this tournament without big question marks, and Rahm makes for a very compelling favorite.
Three guys sit at +1800, and all of them have a history at the U.S. Open worth considering. Dustin Johnson won in 2016, finished third in 2018, and finished tied for sixth in 2020. Bryson DeChambeau is the defending U.S. Open champion, and Brooks Koepka was the winner in 2017 and 2018.
Underdogs Worth Considering
He’s a San Diego native and the most recent major championship winner, but at +5000, Phil Mickelson is an underdog. But as an underdog playing good golf and with a number of stars aligning, could he actually win a second straight major over the age of 50? Sure. But he probably won’t. The course in South Carolina played to his strengths. Torrey Pines does that less so.
Patrick Reed is tied for 10th on the odds board, so it’s hard to call him an underdog. But at +2500, he presents great value as someone worth a wager. He won at Torrey Pines already this year, was terrific at the Memorial, finishing in fifth, and he has a good history at the U.S. Open. He’s finished inside the top 15 in four of his last six Opens and was a fourth-place finisher in 2018.
One other underdog to consider is Paul Casey at +4500. He finished fourth at the PGA Championship and fifth at THE PLAYERS Championship and at Pebble Beach.
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