Outside of Chicago at the FedEx Cup semifinals last week, it was Jon Rahm taking the 72-hole victory. But that victory was not enough to pull him past Dustin Johnson, who remains the Cup leader as the final 30 golfers head to the Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta.
The standings heading into the final are not a mere formality. They come with a very real stroke advantage for the golfers based on how they are ranked.
Each of them, according to the standings, will begin play on Thursday with a score already related to par. It starts with No. 1 Dustin Johnson at -10, No. 2 Jon Rahm at -8, No. 3 Justin Thomas at -7, and on it goes.
Top 10 According to the Odds
There are a couple of different things you can bet on this weekend as it relates to winning. You can bet on the winner of the Tour Championship without the bonus strokes (the first odds posted), or you can bet on the winner, including the bonus strokes (the second number posted).
Here are the top 10 golfers this week, ranked by the odds to win the tournament without the bonus strokes.
- Jon Rahm (+500/+250)
- Dustin Johnson (+500/+188)
- Justin Thomas (+900/+500)
- Rory McIlroy (+1000/+2500)
- Webb Simpson (+1100/+1000)
- Xander Schauffele (+1100/+2500)
- Bryson DeChambeau (+1600/+2200)
- Collin Morikawa (+1800/+2000)
- Daniel Berger (+1800/+2800)
- Tony Finau (+1800/+6000)
Coming off the strength of his win last weekend, Jon Rahm is tied with Dustin Johnson as the straight-up winner in Atlanta. But when you factor in the two strokes that Johnson has earned over the season, he is the favorite at +188.
Remove last weekend’s second round from Daniel Berger’s total, and he played quite well. He starts this tournament six shots back, but with his solid iron play, he could easily make that up over 72 holes. Paying +2800 makes him an intriguing play.
Webb Simpson also makes for an interesting play. He skipped Chicago to rest up for Atlanta but still only starts four strokes back.
There’s no denying the season he’s had, with wins at the RBC Heritage and Phoenix Open and a total of eight Top 10 finishes. At +1100/+1000, he makes for good value no matter which direction you want to take your bet.
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