Martin Truex Jr. Archives

Crayon 301 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2023

This week, we are in for the Crayon 301. One of the best parts about NASCAR racing is the variety. We had a street race in Chicago, last week the drivers were in the rain doing pack racing in Atlanta, and now we’re up north for some short and flat racing in New Hampshire.

You must be able to handle your car in all types of conditions if you are going to come through the Cup Series season as the champion.

Favorites to Win Crayon 301

Martin Truex Jr. (+650)
Christopher Bell (+650)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Denny Hamlin (+850)
William Byron (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Kevin Harvick (+1100)
Chase Elliott (+1100)
Ryan Blaney (+1400)
Joey Logano (+1400)

Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell are co-favorites at +650, and both have had a good recent run on this track. Since 2020 Truex has two top-five finishes in three starts and has led for a total of 172 laps over those three races.

Bell has two top-five finishes in three races, including a win here last July. Earlier this season at the short track in Richmond, Bell finished fourth. He was second at Richmond last summer.

Kyle Larson also likes short tracks. He won at Richmond back in April and finished in fifth place there last year. Phoenix is also short and flat, and since 2020 he has a win and two other top-five finishes there. Larson has never won at New Hampshire, but three separate times he has been the runner-up.

William Byron is coming off a win in Atlanta, he is the current Cup leader, and he is bunched with three other drivers at +1100. In five starts at New Hampshire, he has never cracked the top 10, but he had a third-place finish at Richmond last year, and this year he led there for 117 laps.

He was the winner at Phoenix in March, one of his four wins this season, and that could be a sign he’s ready to be in the mix this weekend.

Best Crayon 301 Bet Outside the Top 10

Not listed above is Brad Keselowski, but he really should be on your Crayon 301 betting radar. He’s a two-time winner at New Hampshire, with nine top-five finishes and an average finish since 2020 of third place.

Best of all, he is paying +1800 to win and +250 to finish in the top-five. He’s been 50/50 on top-five finishes over his last eight races here, so +250 is excellent value.

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Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 24, 2023

After taking the week off in the points race, the NASCAR Cup Series gets back to full action this Memorial Day Weekend at the Coca-Cola 600, the third of the four races in NASCAR that make up the Grand Slam.

However, even though no points were at stake, don’t ignore last week’s results. It was another Kyle Larson win at the All-Star Race, a win that didn’t net him any points, but it did result in a $1 million winner’s check. It also points to his return to his 2021 form, when he won the Cup Series and the Coca-Cola 600.

Not surprisingly, for this weekend’s race in Charlotte, he is the Coca-Cola 600 favorite.

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Kyle Larson (+450)
William Byron (+550)
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Martin Truex Jr. (+850)
Chase Elliott (+900)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kyle Busch (+1100)
Christopher Bell (+1100)
Tyler Reddick (+1600)
Kevin Harvick (+1800)
Bubba Wallace (+1800)

Kyle Larson has three wins this season after crossing the finish line first just three times in all of 2022. He finished seventh in the standings last year and is only 10th at the moment. But his racing of late points to a surging second half for Larson and a possible return to the top. A win this week would go a long way to making that happen.

William Byron is fifth in the Cup Series standings, he’s running with the second shortest odds here, and he’s just two weeks removed from a win at Darlington. That was his third of three straight top-five finishes. He also has wins in Phoenix and Las Vegas and is in great shape heading into Charlotte.

Denny Hamlin is the defending champion at this race, and a repeat win here would move him into the top three in the Cup Series standings. He won at Kansas three weeks ago, and he has two other top-five finishes over the last six weeks.

Kevin Harvick is down at the bottom of the top 10, but he’s been one of the most successful drivers at Charlotte in recent years. He hasn’t won here since 2018, but last year he finished third, and in each of the previous five races at Charlotte, he finished in the top 10.

Brad Keselowski is a longshot at +4000, but when he has actually finished the race at Charlotte, his last three results are 11th, seventh, and first. Two weeks ago at Darlington, Keselowski finished fourth. That was his third top-five finish of the season.

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Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 11, 2023

It’s Mother’s Day at Darlington, as the Cup Series makes its annual regular season trip to the South Carolina raceway for the Goodyear 400. The Cup Series will return to this track in September when the playoffs begin.

Last week we were in Kansas, where Denny Hamlin was the big winner. And now he goes for back-to-back wins at a track that he has dominated in recent years. He won here in 2017, 2020, and 2021, and last year he was the runner-up.

Red-hot from last week and now racing at a place where he has been at his best has Hamlin as a co-favorite heading into the weekend.

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

Denny Hamlin (+550)
Kyle Larson (+550)
Martin Truex Jr. (+700)
Tyler Reddick (+850)
William Byron (+900)
Kyle Busch (+900)
Christopher Bell (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Kevin Harvick (+1200)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1200)

Kyle Larson was the runner-up to Hamlin last week, rebounding from back-to-back disappointments at Talladega and Dover. Larson now has five top-five finishes this season. Larson has never won at Darlington, and last year in this race, he finished 36th.

Martin Truex won the Goodyear 400 in 2021, and last year he led for 48 laps before a faulty water pump took him out of the race. He has led at least one lap in his last six races at Darlington. This season he has finished in the top 10 in six of his last seven races.

Tyler Reddick has never won here, but in the two races at Darlington in 2022, he finished second and third. And right behind him on the odds board is one the hottest drivers in the Cup Series, William Byron. He was third last week in Kansas, fourth in Dover, and seventh at Talladega.

Also, keep your eye on the trio of drivers paying +1200, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Chase Elliott.

Harvick had a mechanical issue last year that kept him from finishing. But in the 13 races at Darlington before that, he didn’t finish worse than ninth, and 11 times he was in the top five.

Logano won here last May, finished fourth in the playoff race in September, and has four other top-five finishes at Darlington since 2015. Elliott doesn’t have any wins at Darlington, but last May, he finished fifth, and in 2021 he was seventh.

Well, down the Goodyear 400 odds board is Erik Jones, paying +6500. He’s only finished in the top 10 in two of 12 races this season, but Darlington is his bread and butter. It’s the only track where he has won multiple times, which includes last September’s win over the playoff field.

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Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on July 13, 2022

NASCAR takes a trip to Louden, New Hampshire, this weekend for the Ambetter 301. This race was originally 300 miles, but at one point, the sponsor of the event had the slogan, “tools that go the extra mile,” so naturally, an extra mile was added to the race.

Sponsorship has changed since then, but the race distance has not. This weekend’s Ambetter 301 winner will only be crowned after he goes that extra mile.

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Ryan Blaney (+600)
Kyle Busch (+650)
Joey Logano (+700)
Denny Hamlin (+850)
Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
Ross Chastain (+900)
Chase Elliott (+1000)
Kyle Larson (+1200)
Kevin Harvick (+1600)
Christopher Bell (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has yet to take a checkered flag this year, but he is the betting favorite heading into this weekend’s Ambetter 301 in New Hampshire. Blaney has no wins, but he does have seven top-five finishes and is currently in second place in the Cup standings.

The man atop the standings is Chase Elliott, who has surprisingly long odds considering that he has three wins on the season, including two wins in his last three starts and a second-place finish in the other of those three races. Elliott has never won in New Hampshire, but he’s simply too hot right now to ignore.

Kevin Harvick, at +1600, is also playing longer odds than he deserves. He’s been very good on flat tracks this season, and on the closest facsimiles to New Hampshire – Phoenix and Richmond – he was in the top-10 at both, and he was the runner-up in Richmond. He’s also finished in the top 10 in three of his last four races.

Longer Shots to Consider

Aric Almirola is paying +2500 because he hasn’t won this year, and he only has two top-five finishes in 2022. But in his career, he does have a win in New Hampshire to go along with three top-five finishes. And it was just last July when he recorded that win.

Brad Keselowski is paying a whopping +10000, even though he won at New Hampshire in 2020 and he finished third here in 2021.

Keselowski was a top-10 finisher at Sonoma a month ago, but overall his 2022 has been well below his standards. He has just two top-10 finishes and has finished worse than 20th a total of 10 times. But his recent history at New Hampshire is worth a look.

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GEICO 500 Preview

by WagerHome Blog on April 20, 2022

From the smallest track on the circuit, NASCAR heads to the largest this week, the Talladega Superspeedway and the GEICO 500.

With only one multi-winner on the season and a track where anything can happen, we have a wide-open GEICO 500 race where the favorite has been given less than a 10 percent chance to win.

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Ryan Blaney (+1000)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Denny Hamlin (+1400)
Chase Elliott (+1400)
Brad Keselowski (+1400)
Bubba Wallace (+1400)
Austin Cindric (+1400)
Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Kyle Larson (+1600)
Kyle Busch (+1600)

Ryan Blaney has finished in the top-10 in five of his last six races, and he is the betting favorite for this weekend’s GEICO 500 race. Blaney has struggled in his last three Talladega starts, finishing 15th, ninth, and 25th. But in the two races before that three-race stretch, he was a back-to-back winner.

Joey Logano has yet to win an official race in 2022, but in his last two starts, he finished second at Martinsville and third on the dirt at Bristol. In total, he has six top-10 finishes and three finishes in the top five, and it’s only a matter of time before he takes home the checkered flag.

Following Logano is a host of drivers at +1400, including current Cup standings leader Chase Elliott who is still in search of his first win. He has six top-10 finishes this season, including eighth place last week in Bristol. He was a winner at Talladega in 2019, but in two races last year, he finished 24th and 18th.

Best Value Bets

At +1700, William Byron falls just outside the top-10, but as the only two-time winner in 2022, he has to be a consideration. He was only 18th last week in Bristol, which no doubt is pushing his odds long, but he was a winner the week before at Martinsville and three weeks before that in Atlanta. An accident knocked Byron out of his last Talladega start, but in the race, before that, he finished second.

Currently seventh in the Cup standings, Martin Truex Jr. is paying +3000 this week. He wasn’t great at Bristol, finishing 21st. But Truex finished fourth at Richmond, seventh at COTA, and eighth at Atlanta, and he has seven career top-10 finishes at Talladega.

Ross Chastain is paying +3500, likely because of his history at Talladega. He has never finished higher than 12th, and four of his six starts have ended 24th or worse. But, he is having a very good 2022.

Chastain already has more top-five finishes this year than in his entire career previously, and he picked up his first-ever win at the Circuit of the Americas last month.

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Crayon 301 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Crayon 301

Best Crayon 301 Bet Outside the Top 10

Pay Per Head Software

Coca-Cola 600 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Coca-Cola 600

Pay Per Head Software

Goodyear 400 Betting Preview

Favorites to Win Goodyear 400

Pay Per Head Software

Ambetter 301 2022 Betting Preview

Favorite to Win Ambetter 301

Longer Shots to Consider

Pay Per Head Software

GEICO 500 Preview

Favorites to Win GEICO 500

Best Value Bets

Pay Per Head Software

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