NBA Finals 2023 Betting Update

by WagerHome Blog on June 8, 2023

With the Nuggets’ big win in NBA Finals Game 3 on Wednesday night in Miami, the home-court advantage once again shifts to Denver. The next game is in Miami on Friday night, but all that Denver needs to do from here on out is protect their home court.

The Nuggets have lost only one game this postseason at home. Yes, that was their last game at home against the Miami Heat, but they will be the heavy favorite in any game played in the Mile High City. Even the games in Miami, including the next one, sees Denver as the favorite.

Game 3 – Denver Nuggets (-3.5) at Miami Heat

The formula for victory for the Nuggets is pretty simple. Run the offense through Nikola Jokic, but don’t make the only offense. In Game 1, the two-time MVP had a triple-double with 27 points, ten rebounds, and 14 assists. And that last number is key. His distribution of the basketball led to big games from Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr., and Aaron Gordon.

In Game 2, Jokic had 41 points but just four assists and the supporting cast suffered, and the Nuggets lost.

In Game 3, the assist man was back, with Jokic finishing the game with yet another triple-double – 32 points, 21 rebounds, and ten assists. Murray scored 34, Christian Braun added 15, and the Nuggets cruised to the 109-94 victory.

NBA Finals Betting Update

On Friday, we should see more of the same. The ball coming into Jokic, and him finding the open man on the perimeter when the defense collapses on him. And when the defense keeps its defense tight along the outside, Jokic will go to the basket.

Series Score Odds

  • Nuggets 4-1 (-110)
  • Nuggets 4-2 (+325)
  • Nuggets 4-3 (+375)
  • Heat 4-2 (+1800)
  • Heat 4-3 (+1100)

Bookmakers are feeling so good about the Nuggets that they are paying less than even money on the Nuggets winning the next two games and secure their first-ever NBA title. Even if the series does the full seven games, Denver is the huge favorite, +375 as compared to +1100 for Miami.

NBA Finals MVP

  • Nikola Jokic (-650)
  • Jimmy Butler (+1000)
  • Bam Adebayo (+1400)
  • Jamal Murray (+2000)

Jokic has two triple-doubles in three games and is clearly the best player on the court. He is the easy favorite to add a Finals MVP to his already impressive trophy case.

If Miami were to stage a comeback and win this NBA Finals, one would expect that playoff Jimmy Butler will have to go off. Bam Adebayo has also been solid for the Heat, and he, too, would get some deserved MVP chatter.

Pay Per Head Software

Along with the NBA Finals, we are seeing a great performance from the Vegas Golden Knights in the Stanley Cup Finals. Plus, we have baseball, and golf’s U.S. Open is just around the corner.

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WagerHome BlogNBA Finals 2023 Betting Update

NBA Finals 2023 Betting Preview

by WagerHome Blog on May 30, 2023

The NBA Finals matchup is set – the Denver Nuggets finally have their opponent. After the Boston Celtics flirted with making history as the first team ever to come back from a 3-0 series deficit in the NBA Playoffs, they failed to show up in Game 7. Miami won by 19 points and left Boston for Denver late Monday night.

The series will tip off on Thursday night in Denver, with the Nuggets champing at the bit after nine full days off. For the Heat, they are trying to become the first No. 8 seed to win the NBA Finals.

Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets – Game 1

  • Miami Heat (219.5)
  • Denver Nuggets (-8.5)

The Nuggets are big favorites in Game 1, which is a little surprising considering that the Heat won three of the four games played in Boston. They also won two games in Milwaukee and a game in New York. The Heat have been excellent on the road in these playoffs.

Miami is 13-5 against the spread this postseason and 7-3 ATS on the road.

Denver was supposed to be impressive in the playoffs. While Miami is a No. 8 seed, the Nuggets were the No. 1 seed. They beat Minnesota in five games, winning all three games at home.

They knocked off Phoenix in six games, winning all three games at home. And they swept the Lakers, winning twice at home. Do the math, and you’ll see that the Nuggets are 8-0 at home in these playoffs and 5-3 against the spread.

Miami and Denver played twice this season, and the Nuggets won each game and covered the spread in both.

NBA Finals 2023 Betting Preview

NBA Finals Series Bets

The Nuggets are big favorites in Game 1, and they are big favorites overall.

  • Denver Nuggets (-400)
  • Miami Heat (+300)

The payday on a Nuggets NBA championship isn’t great, at -400. But you can add to your payout by betting on the exact series score.

  • Nuggets 4-0 (+450)
  • Nuggets 4-1 (+225)
  • Nuggets 4-2 (+400)
  • Nuggets 4-3 (+325)
  • Heat 4-0 (+4000)
  • Heat 4-1 (+2000)
  • Heat 4-2 (+750)
  • Heat 4-3 (+950)

Based on the NBA Finals odds, the most likely result is the Nuggets win in five games. If the Heat are going to win, it will be with a Game 6 closeout in Miami. A Heat sweep of the Nuggets is clearly the biggest longshot.

NBA Finals MVP

  • Nikola Jokic (-350)
  • Jimmy Butler (+350)
  • Jamal Murray (+1200)
  • Bam Adebayo (+5000)
  • Caleb Martin (+5000)

Nikola Jokic has a pair of NBA MVPs, and he is the favorite to add a Finals MVP to his trophy case. Jimmy Butler is the obvious favorite from Miami.

And if you saw Caleb Martin’s 26 points in Game 7 on Monday night, he might be worth a play at +5000.

Pay Per Head Software

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WagerHome BlogNBA Finals 2023 Betting Preview