The Green Bay Packers host the New Orleans Saints in a Monday Night Football clash with significant postseason implications. As Green Bay continues their push for the playoffs, the Saints are fighting to stay afloat amidst injuries to key players. The game kicks off on December 23, 2024, at Lambeau Field, where freezing conditions are expected to play a major role.
Green Bay’s home-field advantage at Lambeau Field has been a deciding factor in several of their recent victories, and this week should be no exception. Playing in subfreezing temperatures creates challenges for opponents unfamiliar with such conditions, giving the Packers a significant edge. With a raucous crowd backing them and momentum from a strong second half of the season, Green Bay looks set to continue its playoff march.
Saints vs Packers Odds
- Spread: Packers -13.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Packers -700 | Saints +500
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 (-110)
Why the Packers Could Cover the Spread
The Packers are coming off a statement win over the Seattle Seahawks and have momentum on their side. Green Bay’s defense is ranked seventh in EPA per play allowed and thrives at creating turnovers, with a league-best fourth ranking in total takeaways. Facing a Saints offense likely missing both Derek Carr and Alvin Kamara, the Packers have a clear edge.
Additionally, Green Bay’s ability to adjust mid-game has been a cornerstone of their success this season. Against Seattle, they showcased versatility by exploiting defensive weaknesses with both their ground and air attacks. Head coach Matt LaFleur has consistently outcoached opponents in critical moments, which could play a huge role against a Saints team struggling to find consistency.
On offense, Green Bay’s rushing attack has been dominant in recent weeks. Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon combined for 140 yards against Seattle, and they’ll be key against a Saints defense that ranks 30th in rushing EPA allowed. Expect the Packers to control the clock and wear down the Saints’ defense in cold, windy conditions.
Why the Saints Could Cover the Spread
New Orleans faces an uphill battle, but they’ve shown resilience in the past. Backup quarterback Spencer Rattler will likely get the start and has flashed moments of potential this season. The Saints’ defense remains a strength, highlighted by pass rushers like Carl Granderson and Cameron Jordan, who combined for seven pressures last week.
Special teams could also play a role, with veteran safety Tyrann Mathieu leading the Saints in forced turnovers. If the defense can create short fields and capitalize on any Packers’ mistakes, the Saints may keep it closer than expected.
Prediction and Picks
- Spread Pick: Packers -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under Pick: Under 42.5 (-110)
The Packers have every advantage in this matchup, from the weather to a more complete roster. Expect Green Bay to build an early lead and lean on their rushing game to close out the contest. With the Saints’ offense likely struggling to score, this game leans toward the under.
Conclusion
The Packers are primed to dominate this Monday Night Football matchup and continue their playoff push. The combination of their strong rushing game, dominant defense, and Lambeau Field advantage makes them a formidable opponent for an injury-depleted Saints squad.
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Enjoy the game, and good luck with your bets!
