We had an unexpected winner at Daytona, with Austin Cindric taking the checkered flag at the Daytona 500 as a rookie. He was 20th in the favorites board and paid +3100.
Last week at Wise Power 400, things returned to normal, with Kyle Larson winning the race and joining mainstays Joey Logano and Brad Keselowski and winners in 2022.
From Fontana, California, we go to Las Vegas, Nevada, and the Pennzoil 400, and not surprisingly, the betting world loves Larson to win again.
Favorites to Win Pennzoil 400
- Kyle Larson (+350)
- Chase Elliott (+700)
- Joey Logano (+800)
- Denny Hamlin (+800)
- Ryan Blaney (+850)
- Kyle Busch (+1000)
- William Byron (+1200)
- Martin Truex, Jr. (+1400)
- Tyler Reddick (+1500)
- Kevin Harvick (+1500)
Larson won this race a year ago and is coming off the win last week. Of course, he is the heavy favorite.
Joey Logano was a winner this year in Los Angeles and has two wins in Las Vegas, including two years ago. In the last six races in Las Vegas, Logo has led 15% of the laps and has four top-10 finishes to go along with his two wins. Overall he has 17 career starts in Vegas and has finished in the top-5 a total of six times.
Logano finished fifth last week in Fontana.
Like Logano, Denny Hamlin is paying +800, and he has a solid history in Las Vegas. At the race here last September, he was the winner, leading for 137 laps.
He was fourth at the Pennzoil 400 last March, and in September of 2020, he finished third. Overall, Hamlin has nine top-10 finishes at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Value Bets to Consider
Jumping off the board is Brad Keselowski paying +2500. He was second in Las Vegas a year ago, and three previous times in Las Vegas, he has taken the checkered flag.
He’s finished in the top-10 in 12 of his last 13 Las Vegas starts, and eight of those starts had him finishing in the top-five. Keselowski also won the first of the Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona three weeks ago. Why he is only listed at +2500 is a mystery.
Daytona 500 winner Austin Cindric is paying +3000. He doesn’t have experience in Las Vegas, but that didn’t stop him in Daytona.
And while that win might have been flukey, he is a quality driver and followed it up with a 12th place finish in Fontana. He also had a nice showing at the L.A. Coliseum.
One last value play to look at is Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. at +6000. His most recent form in Las Vegas has been spotty, but it includes a third-place finish two years ago and a sixth-place finish in 2019.
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