We do now know that the world’s No. 1-ranked player, Dustin Johnson, will not win this weekend’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am. He withdrew from the tournament Monday night, leaving the popular event without any of the world’s top 10 players. Patrick Cantlay, at No. 11, is the highest-ranked player in the field.
So with Johnson out, who is the most likely to win on Sunday? And who is the best candidate to sneak up on the rest of the field?
The Favorites
- Patrick Cantlay (+700)
- Daniel Berger (+1400)
- Paul Casey (+1600)
- Jason Day (+2000)
- Will Zalatoris (+2000)
- Jordan Spieth (+2200)
- Francesco Molinari (+2500)
- Si Woo Kim (+3000)
- Sam Burns (+3300)
- Cameron Davis (+3300)
- Max Homa (+3300)
- Kevin Streelman (+3300)
With the absence of the top players, this really does become Cantlay’s tournament to lose. The California native has never won at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am, but he does have a top 10 finish, and last year, he finished tied for 11th place at -8.
He finished in second place at The American Express in La Quinta in January. He also plays very well on a shorter course like Pebble Beach.
Daniel Berger finished in fifth place at Pebble Beach last year and was seventh at the Sony Open in January. Paul Casey just finished in eighth at The American Express and was the runner-up at Pebble Beach in 2019.
Jason Day has never won at Pebble Beach, but he was a runner-up in 2018 and has six top 10 finishes at the event in his last eight appearances.
Darkhorses and Longshots
Looking a little further down that table, you want to keep an eye on Si Woo Kim. He was the winner at The American Express in La Quinta and paid a very handsome +5500.
At +3300 here, and considering he finished tied for fourth place in 2019 at Pebble Beach, Kim is an enticing play.
Phil Mickelson has had a tough last year of golf, but he’s the all-time earnings leader at Pebble Beach, and he’s won this tournament five previous times. He’s paying +4500.
For an even bigger longshot, take a look at Brandt Snedeker at +8000. He’s earned those long odds with three missed cuts in his last four tournaments, and the 40-year-old isn’t the player he used to be.
But he did win at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2013 and 2015, he has loads of experience on this course, and he still has a good enough short game to make a run.
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