The 2025 NCAA Tournament tips off with the First Four games on Tuesday and Wednesday in Dayton, Ohio. These games will determine the final spots in the official first-round bracket, with winners moving on to face higher-seeded teams later in the week.
Key matchups include No. 11 North Carolina taking on No. 11 San Diego State, with the Tar Heels favored by 3.5 points. Additionally, Alabama State (-3.5) faces Saint Francis, American (-2.5) faces Mount St. Mary’s, and Xavier (-2.5) takes on Texas. Visit WagerHome for the latest odds and betting information.
North Carolina Preview – Tar Heels Look to Prove Themselves
North Carolina enters the First Four as a controversial at-large selection. The Tar Heels finished the season strong but faced criticism for their inclusion in the field. R.J. Davis leads the team, averaging 16.8 points per game, and will be key to their success.
North Carolina’s offense is built around perimeter scoring, with Davis and guard Caleb Love providing the bulk of the points. Defensively, the Tar Heels rely on their size to control the boards. They ranked in the top 25 in rebounding margin this season.
UNC’s biggest challenge has been inconsistency. The Tar Heels have struggled in tight games and have lost multiple contests to unranked teams. However, if their guards are hitting shots, they can be dangerous in this tournament.
San Diego State Preview – Defense Drives the Aztecs
San Diego State has built its success on defense. The Aztecs rank among the top teams in defensive efficiency and allow fewer than 65 points per game. Nathan Mensah anchors the frontcourt, providing shot-blocking and rebounding.
Offensively, the Aztecs struggle at times but rely on veteran guard Matt Bradley, who averages 14.2 points per game. Bradley’s ability to create his own shot is crucial when games get tight.
San Diego State will look to slow the pace and keep this game in the 60s. If they can force North Carolina into poor shooting, the Aztecs could pull off the upset.
PPH Betting Prediction
North Carolina enters this game as a 3.5-point favorite, and that seems fair given their offensive talent. However, San Diego State’s defense can keep this game close. Expect a lower-scoring game where the Aztecs’ pace control may frustrate the Tar Heels.
In the end, North Carolina’s ability to make clutch shots should carry them to a narrow victory. For those looking for strong betting options, check out WagerHome for expert insights on March Madness odds and strategies.
Pick: San Diego State +3.5
Alabama State Preview – Looking to Advance
Alabama State enters the First Four as a 3.5-point favorite over Saint Francis. Alabama State relies on a balanced scoring attack, with no player averaging more than 12 points per game. They excel at creating turnovers and have a strong defensive mindset.
The Hornets thrive on fast-break points and aggressive defense. Their ability to pressure the ball and force mistakes will be key to their success. Alabama State must limit turnovers themselves to avoid giving Saint Francis extra opportunities.
Saint Francis Preview – Underdog With Offensive Firepower
Saint Francis is an offensive-minded team that relies on perimeter shooting. The Red Flash have multiple players capable of hitting threes, and their guard play is strong. Guard Josh Cohen leads the team with 17.3 points per game.
Saint Francis struggles defensively, especially against athletic teams like Alabama State. If their shots are not falling, they will have trouble staying competitive. The Red Flash must control the tempo and avoid a fast-paced game.
PPH Betting Prediction
Alabama State’s defense should prove to be the difference in this game. Saint Francis has the shooting ability to keep it close, but Alabama State’s ability to force turnovers should create extra possessions. Back Alabama State to cover the spread in this matchup. For the latest odds and insights, visit WagerHome.
Pick: Alabama State -3.5
American Preview – Defense Sets the Tone
American is a 2.5-point favorite over Mount St. Mary’s. The Eagles rely heavily on their defense, ranking among the top 50 in defensive efficiency. They average 8.5 steals per game and thrive on creating chaos.
Offensively, American struggles at times to score in the half court. Guard Elijah Stephens leads the way with 14.1 points per game. The Eagles need to control the pace to avoid letting Mount St. Mary’s gain momentum.
Mount St. Mary’s Preview – Can They Overcome a Slow Start?
Mount St. Mary’s has been inconsistent this season but has played better down the stretch. Guard Jalen Benjamin leads the team in scoring, averaging 16.5 points per game. The Mountaineers rely on scoring inside and attacking the rim.
Mount St. Mary’s must improve its perimeter defense to contain American’s outside shooters. They also need to win the rebounding battle to keep second-chance points in check.
PPH Betting Prediction
American’s defense should give them the edge in this matchup. Mount St. Mary’s has the size advantage inside, but American’s ability to force turnovers should be the difference. For those looking to wager on this game, check out WagerHome for up-to-date odds and tips.
Pick: American -2.5
Xavier Preview – Experienced Group Ready for Battle
Xavier enters the First Four as a 2.5-point favorite over Texas. The Musketeers bring experience and strong guard play to the court. Desmond Claude leads the team in scoring with 15.8 points per game and can take over in crunch time.
Xavier is efficient offensively, ranking in the top 40 in field goal percentage. Their defense has been inconsistent, but they are capable of forcing turnovers and controlling the tempo.
Texas Preview – Underdog With Upset Potential
Texas is built around athleticism and fast-paced scoring. Guard Max Abmas averages 18.5 points per game and is a dangerous shooter from beyond the arc. The Longhorns also excel at getting to the free-throw line.
Defensively, Texas must improve its perimeter coverage to slow down Xavier’s outside shooters. Their ability to push the pace and turn this into a fast-scoring game will be crucial.
PPH Betting Prediction
Xavier’s experience and offensive efficiency should give them the edge. Texas has the talent to stay close, but the Musketeers’ ability to make key shots late should decide the outcome. For more NCAA Tournament betting coverage, visit WagerHome.
Pick: Xavier -2.5
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