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When it comes to NCAA or college basketball, coaching is king, while guard play and experience are a close second and third. Here are some teams that are likely to be big money movers and makers during league play and the new year.
NCAA Bets for 2023: Illinois Fighting Illini – Fade
From a wagering standpoint, there are different ways to make money: NCAA teams you should “buy” and teams you should “sell.”
In this case, Brad Underwood’s Illini represents the latter. With strong rumblings out of Champagne suggesting this team is strongly lacking in the chemistry department, Illinois is a team to fade during the second half of the season as league play enters the fold.
Illinois is proving this as the NCAA season steams forward, ranking just ninth in the Big Ten against the spread on the season. Their 5-6-1 mark ATS is not a number that typically makes up a strong unit, especially considering that their out-of-conference strength of schedule is 133rd in the nation. They have covered just once in their last five games and are now approaching a stretch of four straight teams currently ranked within the Pomeroy top 100, which they are 3-4 against SU thus far in the season.
NCAA Bets for 2023: Connecticut Huskies – Buy
Coach Danny Hurley and the Huskies are currently the second-ranked NCAA team in the nation and the most consistent from a wagering standpoint. UConn has 11-1-1 thus far in the season against the spread despite playing seven games against “Quad 1 and 2” teams.
UConn’s only failure to cover this season came in their most recent contest against program nemesis Georgetown. The Huskies were able to notch a double-digit victory but could not cover a bloated spread of (-22). This team has quality depth in the frontcourt with classic big men who rebound and defend the rim while boasting a backcourt that shoots the ball and initiates multiple offensive looks. UConn needs to be considered an NCAA national championship contender at this point.
NCAA Bets for 2023: North Carolina Central – Buy
Teams like North Carolina Central can be very valuable when discussing PPH plays. The Eagles are still coached by legendary Levelle Moton and have played a heck of an out-of-conference slate thus far.
NCC’s overall record of 6-7 is not indicative of its status as a program or club. The Eagles play in one of the nation’s worst conferences and cannot attract top-level talent. However, due to their coaches’ chops, they are always competitive, which is represented by their 8-1-1 record against the spread.
The Eagles have covered the spread against all three power six schools they have faced this season. In the games against Virginia, LSU, and Marquette, the largest spread they faced was 24 points, and they were able to cover every time. They are 6-0-1 in their last seven contests and are now entering league play in a weak MEAC after being battle-tested in the out-of-conference season.
NCAA Bets for 2023: Notre Dame – Fade
The Fighting Irish are another team representing more name value than betting value. Mike Brey’s club is one of the worst in the nation against the spread at just 2-10 ATS this season. The Irish are underperforming the number by a second worst in the ACC (-6.6) points per contest.
Notre Dame boasts some really nice players in Nate Laszewski and Dane Goodwin, but that has never equaled a ton of success against the number, as the club is just 64-73-1 against the spread overall and 33-39-1 at home during their careers. This season, the Irish are just 2-7 ATS at home.
