NASCAR moves from the 2.6-mile tri-oval at the superspeedway at Talladega to the 1-mile oval at Dover Motor Speedway for the DuraMAX Drydene 400.
The Monster Mile, as it is known, gives this race something we didn’t see a week ago – parity. Since 2019 we have had five races at Dover, and we have had five different winners – Kyle Larson, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Alex Bowman, and Denny Hamlin.
And according to DuraMAX Drydene 400 race ratings, 11 drivers competing this weekend have a 90 rating or better at Dover. That means we should be in for a great race and a close finish.
Favorites to Win DuraMAX Drydene 400
- Kyle Larson (+500)
- Kyle Busch (+700)
- William Byron (+700)
- Joey Logano (+700)
- Chase Elliott (+750)
- Ryan Blaney (+800)
- Denny Hamlin (+1000)
- Alex Bowman (+1100)
- Martin Truex Jr. (+1200)
- Ross Chastain (+1200)
There is parity this week, with those five different winners in the last five races, but Kyle Larson is the deserved DuraMAX Drydene 400 favorite because of his performance here.
He has just one win, coming in 2019, but in the other 2019 race, he finished third, and in the May race last year, he finished second. And when looking back even further, he has two other runner-up finishes in Dover – 2016 and 2017.
A trio of drivers are tied for the second shortest odds at +700. Kyle Busch won here in 2017, but his most recent two races were 11th and 27th place finishes.
William Byron has finished fourth in each of his last two races at Dover, his only top-five finishes here. And Joey Logano was eighth three races ago, sixth two races ago, and fifth in 2021.
Chase Elliott is the last of the top five, and he’s been up and down at Dover recently. He finished third in his last DuraMAX Drydene 400 race here, wrecked to a 39th place finish the race before that, was fifth three races ago and had a mechanically challenged 38th place finish before that.
DuraMAX Drydene 400 Longshots Worth a Look
You can find Cole Custer for between +10000 and +25000, and as someone with back-to-back top-10 finishes at Dover, that is great value. He started 30th last year and worked his way up to 10th, so if he can qualify in the top half, you have to like his chances.
A little less out there is a bet on Daniel Suarez, who is paying +7500 to take the W at DuraMAX Drydene 400. He finished ninth here last year, and when he was racing for Joe Gibbs in 2017 and 2018, he had three top-10 finishes.
Driving in the Truck Series, he also has a pair of runner-up finishes at Dover and a win here with the Xfinity Series.
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