As some of the golf world collects its breath after a thrilling end to the PGA Championship last weekend, an invitation-only field will play Colonial this week at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Last week Jordan Spieth referred to the Charles Schwab Challenge course at Southern Hills as, “Colonial, just a little bit on steroids.” So presumably, this will be a more relaxed weekend. It’s also a weekend of golf that most of the Tour is familiar with, as this is the 75th tournament at Colonial – the longest-running PGA Tour event held at the same course.
Favorites to Win Charles Schwab Challenge
- Justin Thomas (+1100)
- Jordan Spieth (+1200)
- Scottie Scheffler (+1200)
- Collin Morikawa (+1800)
- Will Zalatoris (+2000)
- Viktor Hovland (+2200)
- Max Homa (+2800)
- Sam Burns (+2800)
- Abraham Ancer (+3300)
- Daniel Berger (+3300)
- Sungjae Im (+3300)
- Tony Finau (+3300)
- Webb Simpson (+3300)
Apart from shooting a 58, there isn’t much Justin Thomas could do this weekend to top the weekend he just had. But if anyone can get back up and focused for a tournament as the newly minted PGA Champion, it’s a golfer like Thomas. He is the Charles Schwab Challenge favorite, and rightfully so.
Almost no one in the field knows this course better than Jordan Spieth, and no one who knows it well plays it better than him. He won Charles Schwab Challenge in 2016, and he’s been the runner-up at Colonial three other times. He’s also motivated after a disappointing weekend at Southern Hills.
It was unfortunate timing for Scottie Scheffler to show his mortality, but even after missing the cut last week, he is still the No. 1 ranked golfer in the world and a good bet to win every time he tees it up.
And yes, every tournament, we say, “Will Zalatoris is primed to get his first Tour victory this weekend,” and my how close we came to being right last weekend. He was just a playoff away from winning the PGA, and he is primed to get his first Tour victory this weekend. Really.
Best Value Bets
None of the above favorites will result in a big return for your risk, but Tommy Fleetwood would, at +4000. He’s never played Charles Schwab Challenge before, but he’s coming off a T5 at the PGA, and he was the co-leader on Sunday with a 67.
Mito Pereira is also paying +4000, and all eyes will be on him this week to see how he responds to losing the PGA Championship. His 72nd hole at the PGA wasn’t quite a Jean van de Velde-level meltdown, but losing a major tournament that you were poised to win can leave a mark.
Or, you can turn it into a positive. We shall see with Pereira.
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