We have Saturday, Sunday, and Monday NFL football this weekend, as the league begins its sprint to the postseason. And there is not one of the 15 games that doesn’t have meaning for the playoffs. In every game there is at least one team in the playoff chase.
Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals (-3)
Joshua Dobbs is out in Minnesota and Nick Mullens is in. And he’s not bad as far as backup quarterbacks, but he doesn’t present the excitement of a Dobbs, nor is he in command of the offense quite like Jake Browning has been in Cincinnati.
The loss of Joe Burrow was supposed to sink the Bengals, but Browning and the rest of the team has other plans. Those plans include winning this Saturday at home, and covering the spread against an offense that is playing its worst football of the season.
New York Giants (+6) at New Orleans Saints
The New Orleans Saints are one of the worst teams in football when it comes to playing against the spread. Only three times have they covered the spread, and they’ve covered just once against a team playing good football. We don’t count covering against the Patriots and Panthers.
The Giants used to be one of the worst teams against the spread, but then Tommy DeVito happened. After losing to Dallas a month ago, New York was just 2-8 against the spread. They have since covered in three straight games, winning outright as the underdog in all three.
This week they are once again an underdog, and they are simply playing too well on offense with DeVito to warrant such a big spread. Take the Giants and the points.
Kansas City Chiefs at New England Patriots (Under 37.5)
The 37.5 points is the lowest over/under line of Patrick Mahomes’ career. But don’t take that fact to mean that you should bet the over. That would be a mistake.
This season the Chiefs have gone over just four times, while hitting the under nine times. And last week in their game against the Bills they were a full 12 points under.
The Patriots are also 9-4 in favor of the under, and four times they have been under by double digits. In the last four games, they have one over, and three unders by 32.5 points, 19 points, and 26.5 points.
The Chiefs play good defense, but struggle offensively. The Patriots, as bad as they are, also still play good defense. Kansas City wins this game 20-10, and the under hits by more than a touchdown.
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