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Final NASCAR Playoff Elimination Race at Martinsville

You can be forgiven if you haven’t been thinking about NASCAR. This week, and for the only full week of the year, we have the NFL and college football, the beginnings of the NBA and NHL seasons, and the Major League Baseball postseason.

But the most exciting event of all this weekend might be the Xfinity 500 at Martinsville. We have half of the Cup Series Championship 4, and the other half will be decided over 500 laps at the shortest track on the NASCAR Cup Series circuit, Martinsville Speedway.

NASCAR Odds to Win Xfinity 500

  • Denny Hamlin (+275)
  • Kyle Larson (+700)
  • William Byron (+750)
  • Brad Keselowski (+850)
  • Martin Truex Jr. (+900)
  • Ryan Blaney (+1200)
  • Joey Logano (+1400)
  • Tyler Reddick (+1500)
  • Kevin Harvick (+1800)
  • Kyle Busch (+1900)

Kyle Larson was a winner at Martinsville in April, and a win here this week would build some big momentum for him going to Phoenix in a week. Although he’s already in the Championship 4 because of his win at Las Vegas two weekends ago, and his incentives to race hard are a little less.

The other driver in the Championship 4 is Christopher Bell, who won last week at Homestead. He is just outside the top 10 for this race at +2000 to win.

Denny Hamlin is the NASCAR favorite this weekend on the strength of his five career victories at Martinsville. In all likelihood, he will need to win in order to race with the championship on the line next week in Phoenix. He’s down by 17 points, and making up that difference would require some bad runs from the drivers he’s competing with.

NASCAR

William Byron is at +750 to win this week, and he’s in a good position to qualify for next week. He doesn’t have to worry about anyone else. If he gets 36 points this weekend, something he has done in three of his last five races at Martinsville, he is automatically in the Championship 4.

Ryan Blaney is also like Byron in that as long as no one below him wins the race, and he himself runs well, he’ll be in. He has picked up at least 42 points in seven of his last nine starts at Martinsville, and if he repeats that on Sunday, he’s likely in.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Winning at Martinsville is a big prize, but at this time of year, it’s simply a means of getting to the real prize, next week’s NASCAR Cup Series Championship race at Phoenix International Raceway.

The eight NASCAR drivers still in the race for the championship this year are Bell and Larson (in the Championship 4), Byron and Blaney (currently third and fourth), and Tyler Reddick, Martin Truex Jr., Hamlin, and Chris Buescher.

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