With six teams on a bye in NFL Week 7, we have a slimmed-down NFL schedule this weekend, with only 13 games.
But fewer games does not mean fewer good NFL games, and we begin our Week 7 best bets look at a really good game in Baltimore.
Detroit Lions (+3) at Baltimore Ravens
Jared Goff has been outstanding, the Lions are in the top 10 in both offense and defense, and their 5-1 record is tied for the best mark in the NFL. And Detroit is a road underdog at the Baltimore Ravens.
The Ravens are good, but the Lions have been hammering teams, winning four games by double-digits. It’s not that the Ravens don’t present a challenge for the Lions, but at this point, Detroit has earned the right to not get points just because they’re on the road.
Take those points.
Washington Commanders (-2.5) at New York Giants
This is not one of the better games of the weekend, but it is one of the better bets. Yes, the Giants nearly shocked the world with Tyrod Taylor at quarterback last week in Buffalo. But that was a superior performance by Taylor against his old team. This week, he will have a letdown against an old division foe.
The Commanders look like a potential NFL Wild Card team, the Giants look like a top-five drafting team, and Washington is the better bet at MetLife Stadium.
Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-7.5)
The Cardinals are playing as good a football as you can play and not win games. They are just 1-5 on the season but 3-3 against the point spread.
But this week, they get one of the best defenses in the NFL in the Seattle Seahawks, and they will find the going much tougher than in weeks past. Seattle should have won last week at Cincinnati, and they will this week at home, covering the spread.
Miami Dolphins (+2.5) at Philadelphia Eagles
The game of the week is in Philadelphia, where the two best offenses in the NFL do battle.
They are No. 1 and No. 2 in total yards, the Dolphins lead the NFL in points, and the Eagles are fifth. They’re also both top-10 in yards per play and third down conversion rate.
But Miami has a huge edge in red zone scoring, and that is why the Dolphins should not be underdogs in this game. The Dolphins score touchdowns on 80% of their red zone trips, the Eagles score TDs on just 45%.
Miami scores more touchdowns, more points, and can beat you more ways, and that is why you should take the points.
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