The United Rentals Work United 500 is a bit on the wordy side. So from here on out the NASCAR race this Sunday in Phoenix will simply be referred to as Phoenix.
The race United Rentals Work United 500 is the last of the west coast swing, and then we head back east to Atlanta. And if we’ve learned anything from the start of this Cup Series season, what you don’t know is far greater than what you think you know. We have had six races, and when William Byron crossed the finish line first in Las Vegas last weekend, he became the sixth different winner.
Favorites to Win Phoenix 500
Ryan Blaney (+650)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Joey Logano (+850)
Denny Hamlin (+900)
Christopher Bell (+900)
Kyle Busch (+900)
William Byron (+1000)
Kevin Harvick (+1000)
Martin Truex Jr. (+1000)
Ross Chastain (+1100)
Race favorite Ryan Blaney has never won at United Rentals Work United 500, but he’s been in the top-five a total of five times, including each of the last three races here. Just five months ago in Phoenix he was the runner-up.
Kyle Larson won here in November of 2021. He also has five other top-five finishes at this track. Larson was sixth at Daytona, and he was the runner-up last weekend in Las Vegas.
A strong case could be made for Joey Logano as the race favorite this week in Phoenix. His recent history here is better than anyone’s, with a win last November, a runner-up in 2021, and a win and a third-place finish in the two races held here in 2020. In his last seven races in Phoenix, Logano has led for 612 laps.
Best Value Plays
The intermediate flat track in Phoenix favors a particular type of driver and car, and two of those types of plays are paying particularly long odds – Aric Almirola (+4000) and Ryan Preece (+4500).
Almirola most recently won in New Hampshire, a similar type of track. That same season he finished in sixth place at Phoenix. Overall in his history at Phoenix, he has two top-five finishes, and seven times he has finished in the top-10.
Ryan Preece doesn’t have the history of Almirola, and he hasn’t had many good results in Phoenix. But he’s driving a Ford, just like Almirola, and Ford has led an inordinate amount of laps at Phoenix in recent years, including almost all of the laps last November.
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