A sold-out crowd in Glendale, Arizona, will be treated this weekend to a pair of championship fight rematches at UFC 263. UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo defends his title for the second time against Brandon Moreno in the co-main event of the evening, followed by UFC middleweight champion Israel Adesanya defending against challenger Marvin Vettori.
Main Card Odds
UFC Middleweight Championship bout
Israel Adesanya (-265) vs. Marvin Vettori (+210)
UFC Flyweight Championship bout
Deiveson Figueiredo (-230) vs. Brandon Moreno (+185)
Welterweight bouts
Leon Edwards (-525) vs.Nate Diaz (+365)
Demian Maia (+175) vs. Belal Muhammad (-225)
Light Heavyweight bout
Paul Craig (+250) vs. Jamahal Hill (-325)
Main Event Preview
Israel Adesanya’s attempt to move up a weight class did not go well, as he suffered his first pro defeat when fighting for the light heavyweight title. He is now back at his normal weight and the heavy favorite to defend his middleweight belt against Marvin Vettori.
It’s been more than three years since Adesanya beat Vettori, and in that time, the challenger has won five straight fights. He also watched Adesanya lose his last time out, giving him a roadmap to follow to record the upset.
When they fought the last time, the win was a split decision, and this should be another close fight. For that reason, it’s worth taking a chance on Vettori and the bigger payday.
Flyweight Championship
Deiveson Figueiredo and Brandon Moreno combined for one of the best fights of 2020 at UFC 256, ending in a majority draw. We should see another close and evenly matched fight on Saturday.
Figueiredo is 20-1-1 overall, compared to 18-5 for Moreno. Figueiredo also has the power advantage, but Moreno has shown the fortitude to go the distance if you can’t take him out. Still, you can’t help but wonder if the champ simply didn’t take the challenger seriously enough last time out, and this time he gets it done.
The -230 on Figueiredo doesn’t come with many rewards, but it’s the safer bet to make.
Other Fights
As always, Nate Diaz will be entertaining. However, he has too much mileage, too much scar tissue, and too many losses to be taken seriously as an upset winner. Leon Edwards is the huge -525 favorite, and he will be deserving of it.
This is the 33rd promoted fight in Demian Maia’s career and likely his last after 14 years in the octagon. He wants to close on a high note, but Belal Muhammed has won five straight fights, and as the favorite, he is likely to win a sixth.
Jamahal Hill is a perfect 8-0 in his pro career, with half of those wins coming by knockout. He’s a solid striker, finishes well on the attack, and should get over on Paul Craig.
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