It’s finally here – the first major championship of the PGA season, this weekend’s PGA Championship. By this time in 2019, we’d already crowned the champion of all four majors.
Instead, a COVID-19 postponement of The Masters and the U.S. Open, and the cancellation of The Open Championship has the PGA Championship giving out the first major hardware of 2020, and golf fans and bettors could not be more ready.
Odds to Win Outright
We’ve seen some wonderfully packed fields over the last several weeks of play, so it’s not that the play will be much different this weekend. But the major tournament stakes are something we haven’t seen in golf in more than 55 weeks – the longest absence of major golf since 1944.
Your favorites to win this weekend at TPC Harding Park in San Francisco are:
- Rory McIlroy +800
- Brooks Koepka +1000
- Bryson Dechambeau +1100
- Dustin Johnson +1200
- Justin Thomas +1200
- Jon Rahm +1300
- Tiger Woods +1600
- Xander Schauffele +2200
- Patrick Cantlay +2500
- Webb Simpson +2500
- Hideki Matsuyama +2800
- Collin Morikawa +2800
- Justin Rose +3000
Rory McIlroy remains the consensus best player in the world, so it’s not surprising that he’s the favorite in most fields. But Brooks Koepka was the winner in both 2018 and 2019, and he just finished in second at the St. Jude Invitational in Memphis over the weekend.
In the history of golf, dating back to 1860, only six times has a major championship been won by the same golfer three consecutive years. The last was Peter Thomsen at The Open in 1956. Will Koepka become the seventh?
Golfers to Watch
Justin Thomas (+1200) was the winner at WGC St. Jude last weekend and has returned to the top of the world golf rankings.
Tiger Woods (+1600) is a four-time winner of the PGA but finished tied for 40th in the only tournament he’s played since the season restarted. A bet on him at +1600 is on reputation alone, and not on actual golf.
In terms of value plays, Webb Simpson (+2500) and Collin Morikawa (+2800) make for better bets than Woods. Simpson won the RBC Heritage and is the fourth-ranked golfer in the world. Morikawa won the Workday Charity Open three weeks ago and is currently ranked 12th in the world.
At +800, McIlroy has far less value. However, it is worth noting that the 2015 WGC Match Play was held at this same course in San Francisco, and McIlroy won.
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