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2025 RBC Canadian Open PPH Prediction & Picks – June 5, 2025

The 2025 RBC Canadian Open begins Thursday, June 5, and runs through Sunday, June 8, at TPC Toronto at Osprey Valley in Ontario. This is the first time this course has hosted the Canadian Open, and it replaces previous venues like Hamilton and St. George’s. The course is a long par-70 layout, measuring 7,389 yards, and features just two par-5 holes — at the start and finish.

This is the final PGA Tour stop before next week’s U.S. Open, so many big names are sitting out. But Masters champion Rory McIlroy is in the field and is a +450 favorite to win. He’s a two-time winner of this event and is looking to make it three. Other notables in the field include Ludvig Åberg, Shane Lowry, Corey Conners, Sam Burns, and defending champion Robert MacIntyre. If you’re a bookmaker or want to become one, check out everything at WagerHome.

McIlroy Preview – Can Rory Get a Third Title?

Rory McIlroy has played the RBC Canadian Open four times and never finished worse than T9. He won it in 2019 and 2022, both at different venues. This year he returns after skipping the Memorial Tournament to prepare for this event.

McIlroy leads the field in multiple metrics. He ranks No. 1 in strokes gained tee-to-green over the last 36 rounds. He’s also near the top in driving distance and strokes gained on approach. With wide fairways and big greens, his power game gives him a big edge.

He’ll look to take advantage of the two par-5s and multiple short par-4s. The setup allows for aggressive play, and Rory is one of the best at capitalizing. He’s also familiar with Canadian courses and thrives in these settings. The biggest challenge for him will be his putting, but if that holds, he’s the clear player to beat.

Conners Preview – Canada’s Best Bet at Home

Corey Conners enters the event at +2000 and is one of the top-ranked Canadians. He’s had four top-10s this year and consistently gains strokes on approach and off the tee. He ranks in the top 5 in proximity from 175–200 yards and is strong in long-iron play.

Conners finished T20 at this event last year and has performed well on similar tracks. TPC Toronto is a long course but has wide landing zones, which should benefit his strong tee-to-green game. His putting is average, but not a major weakness.

He’ll need to convert birdie chances on the shorter holes and manage the longer par-4s. With 21 Canadians in the field, Conners will be under the spotlight. He has the tools to handle that and could be a top contender heading into Sunday.

Pendrith Preview – Power Off the Tee Could Pay Off

Taylor Pendrith enters at +3500 and comes in playing well. He finished T5 at the PGA Championship and T12 last week at the Memorial Tournament. He ranks second only to Scottie Scheffler in strokes gained tee-to-green at Muirfield.

Pendrith is one of the longest drivers on tour, and that fits TPC Toronto. The course is long, but with wide fairways and large greens, his power game will let him go low if his putter cooperates. He also has experience here, finishing runner-up in a 2019 PGAT Canada event on this course.

He’ll be a popular pick among Canadian fans and has a strong shot at winning his first PGA Tour title. He may not be as consistent as Conners, but his ceiling is high. If he avoids big mistakes, he’ll be near the top of the board come Sunday.

Other Players to Watch

Shane Lowry (+2200) is gaining attention for his iron play. He leads the Tour in approach shots from 200–225 yards and ranks second in strokes gained tee-to-green. He finished strong at the Memorial, gaining 2 strokes on approach.

Defending champion Robert MacIntyre (+3300) won last year with his father on the bag. He’s in good form, coming off a T6 and T20 in his last two events. His long iron play is strong, but his putting can be streaky.

Luke Clanton (+3500) is a top-ranked amateur with two runner-up finishes in just 13 pro starts. At only 21, he’s one of the youngest contenders but has shown he can compete with veterans. He’s a name to watch, especially at a course that favors distance.

Course Breakdown – What to Expect from TPC Toronto

This is the first PGA event at TPC Toronto. The course plays to a par 70 with just two par-5 holes. It features six par-4s over 480 yards and two par-3s over 225 yards, making it one of the longer courses on Tour.

Fairways are wide, and greens are large, which limits the penalty for inaccuracy. That makes it a second-shot course where long iron play and putting become key. The deep bunkers and long approach shots will test players all week.

The 18th hole is a long par-5 and offers drama with water in front of the green and tough bunkers behind it. Expect players to take risks on that closing hole, especially in tight matchups on Sunday.

PPH Betting Prediction

Rory McIlroy is the best pick to win. He’s won this event twice, fits the course style, and has the stats to back it up. The long layout and wide landing areas work in his favor. If his putter is average, he’ll be tough to beat. His odds at +450 may not be huge, but he’s the clear No. 1 in the model.

Among the Canadians, Conners and Pendrith have strong value. Conners is more consistent, while Pendrith has higher upside. Shane Lowry and Keith Mitchell also fit the course style well. But in the end, this tournament looks set up for Rory to take home his third title in Canada. Want to take action on the tournament? Become a pay-per-head bookie at WagerHome and start offering golf betting today.

Pick: Rory McIlroy to Win +450

 

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