The 2025 3M Open will be played from July 24–27 at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. It’s the second-to-last event before the start of the FedExCup Playoffs. The field is made up of golfers fighting for a top-70 spot to qualify for the first playoff round.
Most of the big names from The Open Championship are sitting this one out. That opens the door for rising stars and steady performers to take advantage. The course is known for birdies, water hazards, and wild swings on the leaderboard. Stay with WagerHome for the latest on PGA TOUR betting and how you can become a PPH sportsbook operator.
Burns Preview – Can He Finally Close One Out in 2025?
Sam Burns comes in as the betting favorite at +1600. He’s 22nd in the FedExCup standings and could use a win to boost his playoff position. He’s also trying to secure a Ryder Cup spot later this year.
Burns has 11 straight made cuts, including seven top-20 finishes. He finished T12 here in 2024 and T7 back in 2019. His game fits well at TPC Twin Cities, especially his strong putting on bentgrass greens.
Burns will need to improve his iron play, but his short game and scoring on par 5s give him a strong chance. If he gets hot early, he can hold off the rest of the field and get his first win of the season.
Gotterup Preview – One of the Hottest Players on Tour
Chris Gotterup enters at +1800 after a strong run overseas. He won the Genesis Scottish Open and finished top-25 at The Open Championship. He also leads the TOUR in par-5 scoring over the last month.
Gotterup has played the 3M Open twice and made the cut both times. His aggressive style matches up well with TPC Twin Cities, which rewards long drivers who can avoid the water.
He ranks high in strokes gained: off-the-tee and birdie percentage. If he keeps scoring on the par 5s and avoids big numbers, he could be in the final group on Sunday.
McNealy Preview – One of the Most Consistent Players in 2025
Maverick McNealy is +2000 and comes in ranked 11th in FedExCup points. He’s made the cut in 17 of 20 events and played all four majors. His best finishes this year include T3 at Valero and T5 at Memorial.
McNealy shot a 66 in the final round of The Open and looks to carry that momentum into Minnesota. He tied for 3rd at this event last year and has never missed the cut at TPC Twin Cities.
McNealy ranks high in total driving and approach play. He doesn’t make many mistakes and can score when needed. He is a strong pick to finish top 10 and possibly contend for the win.
Other Names to Watch
Tony Finau (+3500) returns to a course where he’s had a lot of success. He won in 2022 and has never finished worse than T28 at the 3M Open. He’s made seven cuts in a row but hasn’t finished better than T15 this season.
Patrick Fishburn (+6500) is a name to circle as a longshot. He finished T6 here last year and comes in with three straight top-20s. He ranks high in ball-striking and off-the-tee stats, which are key at this course.
Max Greyserman (+2800) nearly won last year, finishing one shot short. He’s also coming off a playoff loss at Detroit and looks sharp heading into the week. He’s top-10 in birdies or better gained and is trending in the right direction.
Course Preview – TPC Twin Cities
The course is a par-71 layout playing just over 7,400 yards. There’s water on 15 holes, and big numbers are always possible. The layout rewards total drivers who hit it long and straight.
It features three par-5s and multiple short par-4s, making it a birdie-friendly course. But one mistake off the tee can bring a double bogey into play. Ball-striking and bogey avoidance are the key stats to follow.
In past years, winning scores have been between -15 and -17. That means players have to stay aggressive. But they also need to avoid the water and play smart around the greens.
Key Stats That Matter
Strokes gained: off-the-tee and approach are the top two stats to watch. Players also need to generate birdie chances, so opportunities gained is another useful number.
Putting has not been as predictive at this event. Even players ranked low in putting stats have spiked good weeks here. The large bentgrass greens are easy to hit, which shifts more focus on tee-to-green play.
Among the best in these categories are Michael Thorbjornsen, Rico Hoey, Kevin Yu, Chris Gotterup, and Sam Burns. If any of them can catch a hot putter, they’ll be near the top of the board.
PPH Betting Prediction
This tournament can go in many directions, but the course fit favors strong drivers and good approach players. Gotterup and McNealy stand out because of their current form and scoring ability. Finau’s course history also keeps him in the mix.
The predicted winning score should be around -17. Gotterup has the best combination of length, recent form, and ability to score on par-5s. He’s also trending with solid showings in strong fields. If you’re looking to grow your PPH sportsbook this golf season, WagerHome gives you everything you need to get started.
Pick: Chris Gotterup +1800