Warren Buffett famously once offered anyone who filled out a perfect NCAA Tournament bracket $1 million. To go 63-for-63 is the longest of longshots – 9.2 quintillion to 1, to be exact – and Buffett never had to pay.
It’s not quite that same payoff if you happen to be lucky enough to pick the first three winners of the NASCAR season, but the number of people who did is likely the same: zero.
For the first time since 1950, the season began with two wins by two first-time winners. Michael McDowell, at 65 to 1, won the Daytona 500. Christopher Bell paid 80 to 1 with his win on the Daytona road course. And last weekend at Homestead, it was William Byron notching just his second career victory and paying out at 25 to 1.
Since betting on NASCAR is requiring more and more good luck each week, naturally, the Cup Series moves to Las Vegas with the Pennzoil 400. Here, we’ll take a look at the 2021 Pennzoil 400 betting favorites.
2021 Pennzoil 400 Betting Favorites to Win in Las Vegas
Kevin Harvick (+450)
Denny Hamlin (+600)
Martin Truex Jr. (+600)
Chase Elliott (+750)
Joey Logano (+750)
Brad Keselowski (+800)
Kyle Larson (+850)
Kyle Busch (+1000)
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
William Byron (+1800)
It stands to reason that if you keep betting on Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin, eventually, you will win. They did combine to win 16 of the 36 races during the 2020 season, and there will be multiple checkered flags in their near future. But is Las Vegas where one of them finally gets it going?
2021 Pennzoil 400 Betting: Who Has Done Well Recently?
Harvick has won twice in Las Vegas, in 2015 and 2018, and he has a total of seven Top 5 finishes at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, including both races run in 2019.
On the other hand, Hamlin has enjoyed significantly less success in Vegas. He’s never won in 18 career starts, and in this race last year, he finished 17th.
Brad Keselowski has three wins at Las Vegas, which ranks first among the active drivers racing this weekend. He also has seven Top 5 finishes like Harvick. Joey Logano has two wins, but they have come in back-to-back Pennzoil 400s. First, he was the victor in 2019 after leading for 86 laps. A year ago, he defended his title after leading for a race-high 52 laps.
As for the three winners so far in 2021, Byron has one Top 10 finish in six Vegas starts, Bell (+2800) has yet to finish higher than 24th in two races here, and McDowell (+15000) has 14 career starts in Las Vegas, and has never finished higher than 18th.
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